Fields

Economics and finance

Follow the ideas, assumptions and recurring failure modes in this field.

Irving Fisher said stocks appeared to have reached a permanently high plateau shortly before the 1929 crash.

Irving Fisher
United States

Made 1929Resolved 1932

Deserved GravesRead entry

Original explanatory diagram · CC BY 4.0 credit

Economics and finance

Conditional on the proposed recovery package, Romer and Bernstein forecast US unemployment of approximately 7.0% in 2010 Q4.

Christina Romer and Jared Bernstein
United States

Made 2009Resolved 2010

Unscored / disputedRead entry

Original explanatory diagram · CC BY 4.0 credit

Economics and finance

“push the UK (United Kingdom) into recession”

HM Treasury / George Osborne
United Kingdom

Made 2016Resolved 2018

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Economics and finance

“to 4% in 2021 Q4”

Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee
United Kingdom

Made 2021Resolved 2022

Unscored / disputedRead entry

Original explanatory diagram · CC BY 4.0 credit

Culture and media

Tourism target: Singapore would attract 17 million annual visitors by 2015.

Singapore Tourism Board
Singapore

Made 2006Resolved 2017

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Culture and media

National aspiration: Malaysia should become a fully developed country by 2020, across economic, political, social and cultural dimensions.

Mahathir Mohamad
Malaysia

Made 1991Resolved 2020

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Economics and finance

Economic forecast: Japan's real GDP would grow approximately 1.4% in fiscal 2020.

Cabinet Office of Japan
Japan

Made 2019Resolved 2021

Honourable GravesRead entry

Original explanatory diagram · CC BY 4.0 credit

Economics and finance

Policy target: China would stabilize annual grain output above 600 million tonnes by 2020.

Government of China
China

Made 2019Resolved 2020

EarnedRead entry

Original explanatory diagram · CC BY 4.0 credit

Economics and finance

Economic forecast: South Korea's real GDP would grow 4.6% in 2010.

Bank of Korea
South Korea

Made 2009Resolved 2012

Honourable GravesRead entry

Original explanatory diagram · CC BY 4.0 credit

Economics and finance

IMF staff projected Pakistan’s real GDP would contract 1.5% in fiscal year 2020 under the COVID-19 shock.

International Monetary Fund staff
Pakistan

Made 2020Resolved 2020

Unscored / disputedRead entry

Original explanatory diagram · CC BY 4.0 credit

Economics and finance

IMF staff forecast South African GDP growth would recover to 0.8% in 2020 under current policies.

International Monetary Fund staff
South Africa

Made 2020Resolved 2020

Honourable GravesRead entry

Original explanatory diagram · CC BY 4.0 credit

Economics and finance

The IMF forecast Lebanon's real GDP growth in 2020 at -12%.

International Monetary Fund
Lebanon

Made 2020Resolved 2020

Unscored / disputedRead entry

Original explanatory diagram · CC BY 4.0 credit

Economics and finance

The IMF forecast Yemen's real GDP growth in 2020 at -3%.

International Monetary Fund
Yemen

Made 2020Resolved 2020

Unscored / disputedRead entry

Original explanatory diagram · CC BY 4.0 credit

Economics and finance

The IMF forecast Saudi Arabia's real GDP growth in 2020 at -2.3%.

International Monetary Fund
Saudi Arabia

Made 2020Resolved 2020

Unscored / disputedRead entry

Original explanatory diagram · CC BY 4.0 credit

Economics and finance

The IMF forecast Qatar's real GDP growth in 2020 at -4.3%.

International Monetary Fund
Qatar

Made 2020Resolved 2020

Unscored / disputedRead entry

Original explanatory diagram · CC BY 4.0 credit

Economics and finance

The IMF forecast United Arab Emirates's real GDP growth in 2020 at -3.5%.

International Monetary Fund
United Arab Emirates

Made 2020Resolved 2020

Unscored / disputedRead entry

Original explanatory diagram · CC BY 4.0 credit

Economics and finance

The IMF projected Israel's economic growth to slow to about 2.5% in 2023.

International Monetary Fund
Israel

Made 2023Resolved 2023

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Economics and finance

“The Board does not expect these conditions to be met until 2024 at the earliest.”

Reserve Bank of Australia Board / Philip Lowe
Australia

Made 2021Resolved 2022

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Original explanatory diagram · CC BY 4.0 credit

Economics and finance

New Zealand Treasury's May 2020 Budget forecast put June-quarter unemployment at 8.3%.

New Zealand Treasury
New Zealand

Made 2020Resolved 2020

Unscored / disputedRead entry

Original explanatory diagram · CC BY 4.0 credit